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@balerinacapuchina

@balerinacapuchina trades across topics, mostly weather who usually holds positions until they resolve. They have won 70% of their last 283 resolved positions, made $66K on Polymarket and finished 8 of the last 10 months in profit.

Updated 27 Oct 2026Trading on Polymarket since May 2025
Follow in NostraOpen on Polymarket
Nostra score
63
Top 25% of 1,750
All-time P/L
+$66K
Realised
30-day P/L
+$37K
Last 30 days
Win rate
70%
Of 283 resolved
30-day volume
$255K
Traded
Months in profit
8 of 10
Last 12 months

Profit by month

Where profit comes from

Politics72%
Weather18%
Sports5%
Other5%

Style

  • Politics specialist
  • Holds to resolution
  • Small bets

Recent resolved positions

The last 6 markets that settled, with the side they took and what they made.

Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes at 78¢ · Lost
Yesat 78¢ Lost −$547
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes at 92¢ · Won
Yesat 92¢ Won +$281
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes at 87¢ · Won
Yesat 87¢ Won +$972
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No at 75¢ · Won
Noat 75¢ Won +$1
Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?No at 98¢ · Won
Noat 98¢ Won +$27
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes at 94¢ · Won
Yesat 94¢ Won +$28
All positions on Polymarket

Smart groups they’re in

Storm ChasersWeather Risers · 30 traders, 3 new every Monday

Similar traders

Same main topic, close in score.

@FrogChartsWin 65% · 30d +$5.6K · 274 resolved63Top 25%0x9506…1c4fWin 70% · 30d −$2.1K · 500 resolved64Top 25%@kupozWin 61% · 30d +$11K · 109 resolved64Top 25%

Questions

Is @balerinacapuchina a good Polymarket trader?

By the Nostra score, a solid one: 63 out of 100, which puts them in the top 25% of the 1,750 traders we score. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.

What does @balerinacapuchina trade?

Mostly politics markets, which make up 72% of their profit, followed by weather. They tend to hold until the market resolves.

How do I see @balerinacapuchina’s trades as they happen?

Follow them in the Nostra app and you’ll get an alert when they open or close a position. Nostra doesn’t place trades for you.

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Keep exploring

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Smart groups

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Smart money

Markets where 3 or more top-scored traders back the same side, checked every 6 hours.

How the score works

What goes into a Nostra score, how often it updates and where it falls short.

Guides

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Nostra for iPhone

Follow @balerinacapuchina in Nostra

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