Polymarket smart money: where the best traders are betting
We check who holds the biggest positions in about 120 live Polymarket markets. When 3 or more of the best-scored traders back the same side, it shows up here.
- Live signals
- 27
- Across 124 markets checked
- Put in
- $17.3M
- By top traders, on their side
- Top traders
- 38
- Scoring 70 or more
- Checked
- Every 6h
- Last check 12:05 UTC
Biggest calls right now
Largest live positions bought between 5¢ and 90¢How we spot smart money
Same rule for every market, no hand-picking.
- 1Every 6 hours we look at about 120 markets: the 60 busiest events on Polymarket and 30 new ones.
- 2In each market we check the 20 biggest holders of every outcome against the Nostra score.
- 3A signal appears when 3 or more traders scoring 70 or more, within the top 10% we score, hold the same side with at least $5,000 each.
- 4It turns to Cooling when fewer than 3 still hold, and leaves the page when the market resolves or 7 days after it cools.
A signal shows what skilled traders hold, not what will happen. Big positions at 95¢ or more are often traders parking money on an outcome they see as nearly settled.
All signals
Live and cooling · biggest first · price is what they paid on averageQuestions
What is smart money on Polymarket?
Positions held by traders with a strong track record. Nostra scores Polymarket traders on win rate, return, months in profit, track record size and total profit, and treats a score of 70 or more as smart money.
How often is this page updated?
Markets are checked every 6 hours and this page refreshes after each check. The Nostra app can alert you when a new signal appears.
Should I copy these bets?
Nostra doesn’t give financial advice. A signal tells you where good traders are positioned so you can look closer, and they can be wrong.
Keep exploring
More from Nostra: rankings by topic, trader profiles, smart groups and plain-English guides.
Smart money
Markets where 3 or more top-scored traders back the same side, checked every 6 hours.
Top traders
Profiles for the 500 best-scored Polymarket traders, with stats and recent calls.
Smart groups
20 self-updating groups, from The Nostra 30 to Weather Wizards.
Smart money
Markets where 3 or more top-scored traders back the same side, checked every 6 hours.
How the score works
What goes into a Nostra score, how often it updates and where it falls short.
Guides
Plain-English guides to finding and following traders on Polymarket.