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@Elias.Thornwell

@Elias.Thornwell is a economics specialist who usually holds positions until they resolve. They have won 74% of their last 500 resolved positions, lost $839 on Polymarket and finished 8 of the last 12 months in profit.

Updated 2 Nov 2026Trading on Polymarket since Jun 2025
Follow in NostraOpen on Polymarket
Nostra score
65
Top 25% of 1,750
All-time P/L
−$839
Realised
30-day P/L
−$10K
Last 30 days
Win rate
74%
Of 500 resolved
30-day volume
$271K
Traded
Months in profit
8 of 12
Last 12 months

Profit by month

Where profit comes from

Economics76%
Culture16%
Tech4%
Other5%

Style

  • Economics specialist
  • Holds to resolution
  • Small bets

Recent resolved positions

The last 6 markets that settled, with the side they took and what they made.

Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?No at 52¢ · Lost
Noat 52¢ Lost $0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?No at 98¢ · Won
Noat 98¢ Won $0
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November?Yes at 49¢ · Won
Yesat 49¢ Won $0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes at 19¢ · Won
Yesat 19¢ Won +$12
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31?Yes at 46¢ · Lost
Yesat 46¢ Lost $0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 2?Yes at 99¢ · Won
Yesat 99¢ Won $0
All positions on Polymarket

Similar traders

Same main topic, close in score.

0xe6df…f7a7Win 81% · 30d $0 · 222 resolved65Top 25%@browneWin 72% · 30d +$12K · 330 resolved65Top 25%@FolletinWin 70% · 30d −$1.5K · 500 resolved65Top 25%

Questions

Is @Elias.Thornwell a good Polymarket trader?

By the Nostra score, a solid one: 65 out of 100, which puts them in the top 25% of the 1,750 traders we score. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.

What does @Elias.Thornwell trade?

Mostly economics markets, which make up 76% of their profit, followed by culture. They tend to hold until the market resolves.

How do I see @Elias.Thornwell’s trades as they happen?

Follow them in the Nostra app and you’ll get an alert when they open or close a position. Nostra doesn’t place trades for you.

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Nostra for iPhone

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