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@outcomes

@outcomes trades across topics, mostly tech who usually holds positions until they resolve. They have won 41% of their last 500 resolved positions, made $16K on Polymarket and finished 10 of the last 12 months in profit.

Updated 27 Oct 2026Trading on Polymarket since Jun 2025
Follow in NostraOpen on Polymarket
Nostra score
44
#741 of 1,750
All-time P/L
+$16K
Realised
30-day P/L
+$2.5K
Last 30 days
Win rate
41%
Of 500 resolved
30-day volume
$22K
Traded
Months in profit
10 of 12
Last 12 months

Profit by month

Where profit comes from

Politics41%
Tech34%
Mentions8%
Other16%

Style

  • Politics specialist
  • Holds to resolution
  • Contrarian
  • Small bets

Recent resolved positions

The last 6 markets that settled, with the side they took and what they made.

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes at 25¢ · Lost
Yesat 25¢ Lost −$282
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?No at 78¢ · Won
Noat 78¢ Won +$68
Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?No at 77¢ · Won
Noat 77¢ Won +$25
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No at 19¢ · Won
Noat 19¢ Won +$1.1K
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Yes at 3¢ · Lost
Yesat 3¢ Lost −$22
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes at 27¢ · Lost
Yesat 27¢ Lost −$232
All positions on Polymarket

Similar traders

Same main topic, close in score.

@Hannah-MontanaWin 65% · 30d +$13K · 498 resolved44@2SherlockWin 63% · 30d +$3.7K · 70 resolved440xb2e4…b7f1Win 12% · 30d +$20K · 500 resolved45

Questions

Is @outcomes a good Polymarket trader?

By the Nostra score, about average: 44 out of 100 among the 1,750 traders we score. Past results don’t guarantee future ones.

What does @outcomes trade?

Mostly politics markets, which make up 41% of their profit, followed by tech. They tend to hold until the market resolves.

How do I see @outcomes’s trades as they happen?

Follow them in the Nostra app and you’ll get an alert when they open or close a position. Nostra doesn’t place trades for you.

Is this your wallet? Nostra only shows public Polymarket data, but we’ll take this page down if you ask. Contact support.

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How the score works

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Nostra for iPhone

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Get an alert when @outcomes opens or closes a position, and see every move next to their score.

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