What is an outcome on Polymarket?
One of the answers a market can resolve to, usually Yes or No.
Definition
An outcome is one of the answers a market can settle on. Most Polymarket markets have two, Yes and No, and you trade shares in one of them.
In more detail
Some markets name their outcomes instead, such as two teams in a match. They still work the same way: one side pays $1 a share and the other pays nothing.
When a market resolves, the winning outcome’s shares pay out and the market closes.
Related terms
Keep exploring
More from Nostra: rankings by topic, trader profiles, smart groups and plain-English guides.
Polymarket glossary
All 20 terms, from odds and resolution to smart money.
Top traders
Profiles for the 500 best-scored Polymarket traders, with stats and recent calls.
Smart groups
20 self-updating groups, from The Nostra 30 to Weather Wizards.
Smart money
Markets where 3 or more top-scored traders back the same side, checked every 6 hours.
How the score works
What goes into a Nostra score, how often it updates and where it falls short.
Guides
Plain-English guides to finding and following traders on Polymarket.