Best Polymarket traders in Weather

The 50 highest-scored traders whose profit comes mostly from weather markets: temperatures, storms and records. Ranked by the Nostra score and re-scored every week.

Updated 2 Nov 2026Top 50 · 30+ resolved positions · re-scored weeklyHow the score works
1 0x94d6…f121Sports specialist · holds to resolutionWin 91% · 30d +$36K
237 resolved
Top 1%82 91% +$36K +$41K 237
2 @LowTempTationWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 99% · 30d +$4.2K
300 resolved
Top 1%82 99% +$4.2K +$14K 300
3 @ColdMathWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 95% · 30d −$30K
500 resolved
Top 1%81 95% −$30K +$111K 500
4 @badatmath.Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 81% · 30d +$20K
500 resolved
Top 3%80 81% +$20K +$67K 500
5 @fastestclickWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 97% · 30d +$1.8K
500 resolved
Top 3%80 97% +$1.8K +$24K 500
6 @KanonenrohrWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 100% · 30d +$1.9K
500 resolved
Top 3%80 100% +$1.9K +$8.9K 500
7 @WeatherstappenWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 99% · 30d +$2.2K
500 resolved
Top 3%79 99% +$2.2K +$51K 500
8 @3636yuchensuWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 75% · 30d +$1.2K
500 resolved
Top 3%79 75% +$1.2K +$5.2K 500
9 @HighTempTationWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 100% · 30d +$9.4K
500 resolved
Top 3%78 100% +$9.4K +$96K 500
10 0xbcad…d6daWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 80% · 30d +$10K
86 resolved
Top 3%78 80% +$10K +$12K 86
11 @Weather-GuruWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 80% · 30d +$854
500 resolved
Top 3%78 80% +$854 +$6.4K 500
12 @Sylar012Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 100% · 30d +$1.8K
500 resolved
Top 3%78 100% +$1.8K +$5.2K 500
13 @Happening9014Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 98% · 30d +$3.3K
500 resolved
Top 5%76 98% +$3.3K +$27K 500
14 @0xSPBBWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 75% · 30d +$2.5K
500 resolved
Top 5%74 75% +$2.5K +$14K 500
15 @OnlyLuckNoBrainWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 71% · 30d +$5K
500 resolved
Top 10%72 71% +$5K +$34K 500
16 @BakuskyvsWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 74% · 30d +$3.4K
500 resolved
Top 10%72 74% +$3.4K +$14K 500
17 @CakeBakeWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 89% · 30d +$1.7K
500 resolved
Top 10%72 89% +$1.7K −$22K 500
18 @1DVSBSTDWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 99% · 30d +$171
500 resolved
Top 10%71 99% +$171 +$2.8K 500
19 @dp.Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 62% · 30d +$1.9K
500 resolved
Top 10%70 62% +$1.9K +$1.3K 500
20 @UnknownCamer237Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 84% · 30d +$2.2K
500 resolved
Top 10%70 84% +$2.2K +$1.1K 500
21 0x7cd8…28d2Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 75% · 30d +$9.7K
69 resolved
Top 10%69 75% +$9.7K +$9.7K 69
22 @yellowppWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 87% · 30d +$1.4K
500 resolved
Top 10%69 87% +$1.4K +$1.2K 500
23 @DEGENKHANPolitics specialist · small betsWin 68% · 30d +$6.8K
500 resolved
Top 10%66 68% +$6.8K +$105K 500
24 0x26b1…cc81Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 76% · 30d +$7.7K
500 resolved
Top 10%66 76% +$7.7K +$20K 500
25 @MoneyForSky06Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 71% · 30d +$2.7K
500 resolved
Top 10%66 71% +$2.7K +$3.7K 500
26 @0x453643252347563736326Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 99% · 30d +$3K
500 resolved
Top 25%65 99% +$3K +$1.7K 500
27 @kerbrervWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 68% · 30d +$1.4K
500 resolved
Top 25%65 68% +$1.4K +$1.3K 500
28 0x9506…1c4fWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 70% · 30d −$2.1K
500 resolved
Top 25%64 70% −$2.1K +$21K 500
29 @kupozWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 61% · 30d +$11K
109 resolved
Top 25%64 61% +$11K +$18K 109
30 @balerinacapuchinaPolitics specialist · holds to resolutionWin 70% · 30d +$37K
283 resolved
Top 25%63 70% +$37K +$66K 283
31 @FrogChartsWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 65% · 30d +$5.6K
274 resolved
Top 25%63 65% +$5.6K +$12K 274
32 @Hans323Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 70% · 30d +$25
500 resolved
Top 25%61 70% +$25 +$93K 500
33 @arehovbrowWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 61% · 30d +$714
500 resolved
Top 25%61 61% +$714 +$729 500
34 0x4179…cceeholds to resolutionWin 88% · 30d $0
500 resolved
Top 25%61 88% $0 −$565 500
35 @russell110320Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 65% · 30d −$525
241 resolved
Top 25%60 65% −$525 +$68K 241
36 @WrongBy1DegreeWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 66% · 30d −$183
500 resolved
Top 25%60 66% −$183 +$2.1K 500
37 @Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedSports specialist · small betsWin 62% · 30d +$12K
500 resolved
Top 25%59 62% +$12K +$161K 500
38 @michi1Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 55% · 30d +$1.7K
500 resolved
Top 25%59 55% +$1.7K +$38K 500
39 @DescubraWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 47% · 30d +$2.1K
500 resolved
Top 25%59 47% +$2.1K +$4.7K 500
40 @ForeverAlone69Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 56% · 30d +$2.6K
451 resolved
Top 25%58 56% +$2.6K +$5.6K 451
41 0x7be5…a53bWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 95% · 30d +$9
500 resolved
Top 25%58 95% +$9 −$120 500
42 @yongzhuanziben007Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 60% · 30d +$5.6K
500 resolved
Top 25%57 60% +$5.6K +$9.9K 500
43 @OutOfMemoryWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 59% · 30d +$5.5K
500 resolved
Top 25%57 59% +$5.5K +$7.7K 500
44 0x9189…6273Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 86% · 30d +$2.4K
157 resolved
Top 25%57 86% +$2.4K +$2.5K 157
45 @hello.67Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 69% · 30d +$57K
500 resolved
Top 25%56 69% +$57K +$58K 500
46 @keyboard-politicianPolitics specialist · holds to resolutionWin 53% · 30d −$986
500 resolved
Top 25%55 53% −$986 −$6.1K 500
47 @Started-with-20-USDFinance specialist · holds to resolutionWin 52% · 30d +$6.9K
450 resolved
Top 25%54 52% +$6.9K +$54K 450
48 @HotWeatherGirlWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 65% · 30d +$1.8K
500 resolved
53 65% +$1.8K +$2.1K 500
49 @edgewarehouseWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 52% · 30d +$2.7K
500 resolved
52 52% +$2.7K +$32K 500
50 @0botWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 54% · 30d +$4.3K
500 resolved
52 54% +$4.3K +$24K 500

How this list is made

A trader appears here when weather is where most of their Polymarket profit comes from, and they have at least 30 resolved positions. That keeps out one-off lucky bets and traders who only dabble in weather.

Ranks follow the Nostra score, which weighs win rate, return on money staked, monthly consistency, track record size and total profit. Polymarket’s own leaderboard ranks by profit or volume alone, so a single huge win can top it. Here it can’t.

Everything comes from public Polymarket data and is re-scored every week. Open any trader to see their full record and the positions behind it.

How the score works

Questions

Who is the best weather trader on Polymarket right now?

By the Nostra score it is 0x94d6…f121, with a score of 82, a 91% win rate over 237 resolved positions and $41K all-time profit. The list is re-scored every week.

How is this different from Polymarket’s leaderboard?

Polymarket ranks by profit or volume over a period. This list ranks by the Nostra score, so consistency and win rate count as much as size.

How often does it update?

Every week, after the traders are re-scored. The date at the top shows the last update.

Can I get alerts when these traders bet?

Yes. Follow any of them in the Nostra app and get a notification when they open or close a position.

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