Best Polymarket traders in Weather
The 50 highest-scored traders whose profit comes mostly from weather markets: temperatures, storms and records. Ranked by the Nostra score and re-scored every week.
237 resolved Top 1%82 91% +$36K +$41K 237 2 @LowTempTationWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 99% · 30d +$4.2K
300 resolved Top 1%82 99% +$4.2K +$14K 300 3 @ColdMathWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 95% · 30d −$30K
500 resolved Top 1%81 95% −$30K +$111K 500 4
500 resolved Top 3%80 81% +$20K +$67K 500 5 @fastestclickWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 97% · 30d +$1.8K
500 resolved Top 3%80 97% +$1.8K +$24K 500 6
500 resolved Top 3%80 100% +$1.9K +$8.9K 500 7 @WeatherstappenWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 99% · 30d +$2.2K
500 resolved Top 3%79 99% +$2.2K +$51K 500 8 @3636yuchensuWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 75% · 30d +$1.2K
500 resolved Top 3%79 75% +$1.2K +$5.2K 500 9 @HighTempTationWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 100% · 30d +$9.4K
500 resolved Top 3%78 100% +$9.4K +$96K 500 10 0xbcad…d6daWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 80% · 30d +$10K
86 resolved Top 3%78 80% +$10K +$12K 86 11 @Weather-GuruWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 80% · 30d +$854
500 resolved Top 3%78 80% +$854 +$6.4K 500 12 @Sylar012Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 100% · 30d +$1.8K
500 resolved Top 3%78 100% +$1.8K +$5.2K 500 13 @Happening9014Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 98% · 30d +$3.3K
500 resolved Top 5%76 98% +$3.3K +$27K 500 14 @0xSPBBWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 75% · 30d +$2.5K
500 resolved Top 5%74 75% +$2.5K +$14K 500 15
500 resolved Top 10%72 71% +$5K +$34K 500 16 @BakuskyvsWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 74% · 30d +$3.4K
500 resolved Top 10%72 74% +$3.4K +$14K 500 17 @CakeBakeWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 89% · 30d +$1.7K
500 resolved Top 10%72 89% +$1.7K −$22K 500 18 @1DVSBSTDWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 99% · 30d +$171
500 resolved Top 10%71 99% +$171 +$2.8K 500 19 @dp.Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 62% · 30d +$1.9K
500 resolved Top 10%70 62% +$1.9K +$1.3K 500 20 @UnknownCamer237Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 84% · 30d +$2.2K
500 resolved Top 10%70 84% +$2.2K +$1.1K 500 21 0x7cd8…28d2Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 75% · 30d +$9.7K
69 resolved Top 10%69 75% +$9.7K +$9.7K 69 22 @yellowppWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 87% · 30d +$1.4K
500 resolved Top 10%69 87% +$1.4K +$1.2K 500 23
500 resolved Top 10%66 68% +$6.8K +$105K 500 24 0x26b1…cc81Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 76% · 30d +$7.7K
500 resolved Top 10%66 76% +$7.7K +$20K 500 25 @MoneyForSky06Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 71% · 30d +$2.7K
500 resolved Top 10%66 71% +$2.7K +$3.7K 500 26 @0x453643252347563736326Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 99% · 30d +$3K
500 resolved Top 25%65 99% +$3K +$1.7K 500 27 @kerbrervWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 68% · 30d +$1.4K
500 resolved Top 25%65 68% +$1.4K +$1.3K 500 28 0x9506…1c4fWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 70% · 30d −$2.1K
500 resolved Top 25%64 70% −$2.1K +$21K 500 29 @kupozWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 61% · 30d +$11K
109 resolved Top 25%64 61% +$11K +$18K 109 30 @balerinacapuchinaPolitics specialist · holds to resolutionWin 70% · 30d +$37K
283 resolved Top 25%63 70% +$37K +$66K 283 31
274 resolved Top 25%63 65% +$5.6K +$12K 274 32 @Hans323Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 70% · 30d +$25
500 resolved Top 25%61 70% +$25 +$93K 500 33 @arehovbrowWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 61% · 30d +$714
500 resolved Top 25%61 61% +$714 +$729 500 34 0x4179…cceeholds to resolutionWin 88% · 30d $0
500 resolved Top 25%61 88% $0 −$565 500 35 @russell110320Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 65% · 30d −$525
241 resolved Top 25%60 65% −$525 +$68K 241 36 @WrongBy1DegreeWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 66% · 30d −$183
500 resolved Top 25%60 66% −$183 +$2.1K 500 37 @Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedSports specialist · small betsWin 62% · 30d +$12K
500 resolved Top 25%59 62% +$12K +$161K 500 38
500 resolved Top 25%59 55% +$1.7K +$38K 500 39 @DescubraWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 47% · 30d +$2.1K
500 resolved Top 25%59 47% +$2.1K +$4.7K 500 40 @ForeverAlone69Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 56% · 30d +$2.6K
451 resolved Top 25%58 56% +$2.6K +$5.6K 451 41 0x7be5…a53bWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 95% · 30d +$9
500 resolved Top 25%58 95% +$9 −$120 500 42
500 resolved Top 25%57 60% +$5.6K +$9.9K 500 43 @OutOfMemoryWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 59% · 30d +$5.5K
500 resolved Top 25%57 59% +$5.5K +$7.7K 500 44 0x9189…6273Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 86% · 30d +$2.4K
157 resolved Top 25%57 86% +$2.4K +$2.5K 157 45 @hello.67Weather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 69% · 30d +$57K
500 resolved Top 25%56 69% +$57K +$58K 500 46 @keyboard-politicianPolitics specialist · holds to resolutionWin 53% · 30d −$986
500 resolved Top 25%55 53% −$986 −$6.1K 500 47 @Started-with-20-USDFinance specialist · holds to resolutionWin 52% · 30d +$6.9K
450 resolved Top 25%54 52% +$6.9K +$54K 450 48
500 resolved 53 65% +$1.8K +$2.1K 500 49 @edgewarehouseWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 52% · 30d +$2.7K
500 resolved 52 52% +$2.7K +$32K 500 50 @0botWeather specialist · holds to resolutionWin 54% · 30d +$4.3K
500 resolved 52 54% +$4.3K +$24K 500
How this list is made
A trader appears here when weather is where most of their Polymarket profit comes from, and they have at least 30 resolved positions. That keeps out one-off lucky bets and traders who only dabble in weather.
Ranks follow the Nostra score, which weighs win rate, return on money staked, monthly consistency, track record size and total profit. Polymarket’s own leaderboard ranks by profit or volume alone, so a single huge win can top it. Here it can’t.
Everything comes from public Polymarket data and is re-scored every week. Open any trader to see their full record and the positions behind it.
How the score worksQuestions
Who is the best weather trader on Polymarket right now?
By the Nostra score it is 0x94d6…f121, with a score of 82, a 91% win rate over 237 resolved positions and $41K all-time profit. The list is re-scored every week.
How is this different from Polymarket’s leaderboard?
Polymarket ranks by profit or volume over a period. This list ranks by the Nostra score, so consistency and win rate count as much as size.
How often does it update?
Every week, after the traders are re-scored. The date at the top shows the last update.
Can I get alerts when these traders bet?
Yes. Follow any of them in the Nostra app and get a notification when they open or close a position.
Keep exploring
More from Nostra: rankings by topic, trader profiles, smart groups and plain-English guides.
All leaderboards
The overall top 50 plus Sports, Crypto, Economics and 6 more topics.
Top traders
Profiles for the 500 best-scored Polymarket traders, with stats and recent calls.
Smart groups
20 self-updating groups, from The Nostra 30 to Weather Wizards.
Smart money
Markets where 3 or more top-scored traders back the same side, checked every 6 hours.
How the score works
What goes into a Nostra score, how often it updates and where it falls short.
Guides
Plain-English guides to finding and following traders on Polymarket.